Consulting

Contract Prices, Tariffs, and Energy Charges

Customized support to meet clients' specific needs, addressing strategic and technical issues in the energy sector.

About

Strategic analyses and projections on the main components that affect costs and price formation in the electric power sector. Through proprietary models and robust simulations, PSR evaluates the dynamics of energy contracts, tariff impacts, the evolution of sectoral charges, and the price signals that guide both buyers and sellers. The studies developed by PSR support the decision-making of sector agents, offering a clear and well-founded vision of risks, opportunities, and regulatory trends in the electric power market.

What we do

Energy contract prices

Projections of electric power contract prices through an optimization model, developed by PSR, based on the concept of market equilibrium. The model calculates prices using the probability distribution functions of hydrology, power plant generation, and PLD. It also considers risk aversion profiles for sellers and buyers, based on revenue and expense expectations, respectively.

Calculation of the value of the premium for the incentivized energy contract (or conventional-incentivized spread), based on projections of energy transportation tariffs (Fio-A and Fio-B) of potential buyers, and on the estimation of the relationship between incentivized energy supply and demand in the free market.

 Projection of the evolution of sectoral charges, including the Program to Incentivize Alternative Electric Energy Sources (Proinfa), the Fuel Consumption Account (CCC), the Energy Development Account (CDE), the System Service Charge (ESS), the Reserve Energy Charge (EER), and the Capacity Reserve Charge (ERCAP), through the projection of their components, simulation of contracting new generation capacity paid with the charges, and simulations of the Brazilian system’s hydrothermal dispatch. It also includes the analysis of the impacts of regulatory and legislative changes on the value of the charges and the competitiveness of commercial arrangements that benefit from exemptions in paying these charges.

Detailed projections of the electric power supply tariffs charged to all consumer subgroups by distribution concessionaires throughout the country. The costs passed on in the tariffs to consumers are calculated individually, and the tariff is defined according to the rules established in ANEEL’s Tariff Regulation Procedure (Proret). Some of the components of the tariffs are calculated for all simulated scenarios of hydrology and non-dispatchable renewable generation, such as energy purchase, the system service charge (ESS), and the reserve energy charge (EER).

 Calculation of the additional amount charged monthly on captive consumers’ electricity bills, according to the tariff rules approved by ANEEL and using the results of the Brazilian electric system’s hydrothermal dispatch simulation, such as the Settlement Price of Differences (PLD) and the Generation Scaling Factor (GSF).

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News

Explore our latest publications

Stay up to date with the latest news, analysis, and content produced by the PSR team.

Energia em Foco

PSR’s hub on Exame, featuring expert content on trends and challenges in the Brazilian and global energy sector.

Latest news

Institutional content featuring study releases, events, partnerships, and other initiatives that highlight our commitment to innovation and excellence in the sector.

Scientific Publications

Articles, studies, and reports that contribute to the effective development of the energy sector.